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Michael Kraten

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Modeling Extreme Meteorology (Weather) Risk for the Gulf Stream

Dr. Rudi Dornbusch, the long-time international economics professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), once described a phenomenon regarding momentum. Now known as Dornbusch’s Law, it posits that crises can take much, much longer to materialize than one might expect; however, once they do occur, they can then generate catastrophic outcomes extremely quickly.
Michael Kraten
April 17, 2024
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Did The COP28 Global Climate Summit Do More Harm Than Good?

A person with a severe case of diabetes visits his physician. “Doctor,” he says, “I constantly feel tired and thirsty. I’m also losing weight. What’s wrong?” The physician replies “What’s wrong? You have diabetes! It sounds like you’re eating too much sugar. What did you have for lunch today?” “Three doughnuts and a jumbo-sized cola.” The physician rolls his eyes.…
Michael Kraten
February 21, 2024
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Why Do Canadian Forests Burn So Easily?

A few years ago, as the skies over San Francisco darkened into a nightmarish toxic orange color, many assumed that the city’s proximity to California’s forest wildfires made it uniquely vulnerable to such occurrences. But then, last year, the skies over New York City underwent the same lethal transformation because of wildfires in the Canadian forests. That’s when many realized…
Michael Kraten
February 14, 2024
ESG/Sustainability

Financial Valuation Models: The Air Versus The Sea

Recently, the Norwegian government legalized large-scale commercial sea mining. Many expected environmentalists to applaud the sea floor production of natural elements like lithium and cobalt, elements that are used to create large batteries for the storage of renewable energy. After all, one major complaint about solar and wind power is that energy production dwindles on cloudy days and evenings when…
Michael Kraten
February 7, 2024
ESG/Sustainability

Climate Tipping Points (CTPs) and Flood Risk Models

By Michael Kraten, PhD, CPA Data analysts who develop flood risk models for property insurers, land developers, and government zoning officers have a new variable to plug into their data sets. Climate Tipping Points (CTPs) are now becoming important factors in risk forecasts. The two most famous CTPs, of course, were introduced to the general public during the 2015 United…
Michael Kraten
December 26, 2023